Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.552797 3.774982 4.013728 4.291137 4.606950 4.958207 5.382634
2025-09-28 3.289906 3.596724 3.945462 4.377574 4.908208 5.552515 6.418046
2025-10-05 3.211856 3.604412 4.074864 4.696404 5.523919 6.636173 8.348525
2025-10-12 3.041981 3.477810 4.020636 4.773842 5.844823 7.419273 10.193245
2025-10-19 2.893277 3.358214 3.956083 4.821505 6.127825 8.224179 12.508996
2025-10-26 2.814181 3.316958 3.985165 4.997278 6.631781 9.551946 16.921146
2025-11-02 2.695072 3.210390 3.911256 5.008261 6.873171 10.512653 21.798589
2025-11-09 2.526003 3.023144 3.706303 4.791724 6.682046 10.536512 23.973056
2025-11-16 2.391068 2.874248 3.544702 4.625243 6.551743 10.657310 26.965712
2025-11-23 2.309814 2.794566 3.476941 4.600529 6.677465 11.430395 35.585122
2025-11-30 2.246628 2.735998 3.435083 4.612195 6.874181 12.489605 53.552919
2025-12-07 2.162700 2.643233 3.335264 4.515105 6.833184 12.877195 71.993431
2025-12-14 2.061945 2.529792 3.209450 4.384039 6.749377 13.277685 115.139205
2025-12-21 2.008566 2.482661 3.183173 4.426774 7.060182 15.295590 NaN
2025-12-28 2.010602 2.516668 3.286531 4.719924 8.055940 21.809186 NaN
2026-01-04 1.964448 2.475711 3.266004 4.777604 8.501233 27.304978 NaN
2026-01-11 1.917829 2.431242 3.235984 4.812586 8.907234 34.829573 NaN
2026-01-18 1.896654 2.424365 3.268005 4.979390 9.799450 58.258696 NaN
2026-01-25 1.851335 2.377163 3.226997 4.985161 10.181646 88.132014 NaN
2026-02-01 1.775479 2.278634 3.090855 4.767560 9.696488 79.844482 NaN
2026-02-08 1.711742 2.197220 2.981237 4.600963 9.371529 78.521291 NaN
2026-02-15 1.673197 2.154261 2.936864 4.575477 9.568086 115.914727 NaN
2026-02-22 1.642455 2.122373 2.910036 4.586397 9.916526 263.877290 NaN